About

Honest backtests, published in public

Trading strategies, validated. We test reproducible trading strategies against11 pre-registered gates. Most complete runs fail. We publish survivors, failures, and the candidates that remain incomplete or inconclusive.

Why this exists

The trading internet is a graveyard of curve-fit equity curves. A vendor optimises a robot on the window where it worked, screenshots the line going up, and sells it. The hard part — proving an edge survives realistic costs, a random-permutation placebo, a multiple-testing correction and an out-of-sample window — is exactly the part nobody publishes.

So we publish it. Every completed validation runs through 11 pre-registered gates(11-gate validation), and the full scorecard goes on the public boardwhether it passes or fails. So far that's 26 retired or rejected,2 surviving, 1 validated, and2 in a paper window. The failures aren't hidden — they're the product.

Who runs it

Validated Strategies is operated by the Validated Research Team under 11-gate validation, Methodology v1.0. Verdicts are computed by the framework with no commercial input — vendors cannot pay for a result, and the gate thresholds are fixed before any strategy is run.

The discipline follows how serious quant research is actually evaluated: pre-registration (lock the spec before you look), a locked out-of-sample window (so you can't peek and re-tune), placebo and deflated-Sharpe tests (so random and over-mined results get caught), and an honest a backtest-vs-live delta when forward evidence exists (every modelling bias points toward optimism, and missing live evidence is labeled rather than estimated).

Where it's going

The endgame is a marketplace: the strategies that survive the gates become assets that autonomous agents can license and trade. A validated, placebo-confirmed, cost-robust edge is worth something precisely because so few survive. The track record of honest failures is what makes the survivors credible. 11 brutal gates. Most fail. We publish what survives.

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Nothing on this site is investment advice. Backtests describe the past under modelling assumptions; past results do not guarantee future returns.

Questions about the research or your data: hello@validatedstrategies.com.