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Research

Essays

Long-form on archetypes, statistics, and the line between edge and noise — written from the 11-gate validation work, not from theory.

2026-06-25

The placebo test: the one gate that retires the most strategies

Most backtests never face a placebo. We re-run every strategy 200+ times with shuffled labels — and it is the gate that has quietly retired the carry trade, the ETH/BTC pairs trade, and more.

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2026-06-24

Edge vs. noise: what eight retired strategies have in common

Eight trading archetypes have failed the gates — basket-grid, Forex Fury, D1 trend, night mean-reversion, trend-pullback, carry, NR7 and ETH/BTC pairs. Here is the pattern across all of them, and what separates them from the survivors.

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