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Updated 2026-06-25 · 23 strategies

The scoreboard

Every strategy we've run through the 11-gate battery, in funnel order — validated at the top, retired at the bottom. Nothing is hidden. Click any row for the full report, gate scorecard and charts.

Validated Cleared the hurdle — deployable / satellite allocation.Surviving Passed the placebo and most gates — under evaluation.In Paper Real edge, mis-specified rule — re-validating on a fresh window.Running Pre-registered and currently in the gate battery.Queued Pre-registered, not yet run.Inconclusive Untestable on available data — not a pass or a fail.Rejected A single version / variant failed the gate.Retired Archetype failed honestly — no further versions.
Strategy Archetype Status Key metric Gates Placebo Tested
Hyperliquid HLP Vault DeFi Validated Sharpe 1.72 2026-06-21
Variance Risk Premium (SPY / QQQ) Volatility Surviving PF 1.74 9/11 PASS 2026-06-15
Turtle / Donchian Breakout Trend Surviving PF 1.61 9/11 PASS 2026-06-24
Funding-Rate Harvest (Round 1) Carry (crypto) In Paper placebo p95 0.003 4/8 PASS 2026-06-21
Turtle / Donchian — Risk-Rescoped v2 Trend Queued In progress 2026-06-25
Variance Risk Premium — Tail-Managed v2 Volatility Queued In progress 2026-06-25
Crabel NR7 + ATR Stop (v2) Volatility breakout Queued In progress 2026-06-25
pead Event-driven Inconclusive PF 2.20 9/11 PASS 2026-06-25
Liquidation-Cascade Fade Mean-reversion Inconclusive 0/11 gates 0/11 FAIL 2026-06-25
Weekly Iron Condor (SPY) Volatility Rejected PF 1.65 9/11 PASS 2026-06-15
Crabel NR7 Breakout (XAUUSD) Volatility breakout Rejected PF 0.64 4/11 PASS 2026-06-25
Pairs Trading ETH/BTC (Cointegration) Statistical arbitrage Rejected PF 0.69 FAIL 2026-06-25
Cross-Exchange Funding Arbitrage Carry (crypto) Rejected PF 0.11 3/11 PASS 2026-06-25
Scheduled-News Momentum (XAUUSD) Event-driven Rejected PF 1.13 6/11 PASS 2026-06
Time-Series Momentum (XAUUSD) Momentum Retired PF 2.41 8/11 FAIL 2026-06-19
FX Carry (Hardened v2) Carry Retired PF 0.84 3/11 FAIL 2026-06-21
Opening Range Breakout (XAUUSD) Intraday breakout Retired PF 0.93 2/11 FAIL 2026-06-19
TrendPullback EA Trend Retired PF 0.80 2026-06-20
NightMeanRevert EA Mean-reversion Retired PF 0.66 2026-06-20
Trend + Carry Overlay (G10) Trend Retired PF 0.78 2/11 FAIL 2026-06-16
D1 Trend-Following (50/200 SMA) Trend Retired PF 0.94 2026-06-20
Basket-Grid (operator-forex-001) Grid / Martingale Retired PF 0.51 2026-06-20
Forex Fury V6 / CORE 1.4 Commercial EA Retired net PF 0.73–0.90 2026-06-20

Metrics are net of modelled costs on real market data. Gate counts use the pre-registered 11-gate battery unless a strategy predates it (basket-grid, Fury/CORE) or uses a strategy-specific acceptance set (noted on its page). Backtests are not investment advice.